Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 5.351097 5.843246 6.380813 7.015313 7.748621 8.575489 9.586968
2025-03-02 4.453816 5.094709 5.846744 6.808219 8.025770 9.546595 11.641441
2025-03-09 3.940760 4.645514 5.512613 6.684076 8.269122 10.410444 13.661477
2025-03-16 3.607432 4.351471 5.301177 6.642172 8.559173 11.331305 15.934042
2025-03-23 3.422092 4.214527 5.260609 6.800282 9.122008 12.718640 19.290579
2025-03-30 3.156064 3.940900 5.000609 6.605390 9.118111 13.211315 21.262116
2025-04-06 2.932005 3.703297 4.764579 6.411132 9.074898 13.613410 23.174181
2025-04-13 2.742116 3.497554 4.554067 6.228242 9.016552 13.965816 25.093644
2025-04-20 2.607885 3.359876 4.429343 6.161867 9.137846 14.661251 28.033628
2025-04-27 2.546653 3.321137 4.445367 6.317134 9.660424 16.237352 33.864121
2025-05-04 2.495012 3.291778 4.471340 6.488490 10.235103 18.063257 41.533472
2025-05-11 2.405396 3.200032 4.393249 6.474056 10.453253 19.161906 47.778174
2025-05-18 2.325702 3.125288 4.346860 6.529150 10.858304 20.920206 58.453475
2025-05-25 2.201280 2.976783 4.174521 6.347400 10.761663 21.441920 65.047427
2025-06-01 2.101985 2.861410 4.047881 6.235942 10.797017 22.335498 74.722491
2025-06-08 2.025404 2.776956 3.965857 6.198189 10.986894 23.735228 89.669552
2025-06-15 1.987527 2.750926 3.978761 6.340733 11.611115 26.698954 122.460415
2025-06-22 1.897904 2.637550 3.835706 6.165010 11.453866 27.104724 137.134614
2025-06-29 1.814765 2.530997 3.698539 5.989603 11.273279 27.387604 152.432305
2025-07-06 1.738945 2.433170 3.571384 5.824223 11.095648 27.638610 169.386146
2025-07-13 1.684871 2.368565 3.498866 5.764145 11.178454 28.911294 207.183177
2025-07-20 1.665015 2.359069 3.522649 5.904634 11.810752 32.690452 324.464410
2025-07-27 1.647872 2.353050 3.551925 6.059485 12.517791 37.321749 578.799174